Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.161116 0.181580 0.203067 0.227256 0.253674 0.281595 0.313282
2025-03-09 0.132454 0.159877 0.190193 0.226008 0.266970 0.312162 0.365592
2025-03-16 0.111235 0.142709 0.179113 0.223932 0.277211 0.338096 0.412485
2025-03-23 0.098267 0.133090 0.174995 0.228453 0.294101 0.371337 0.468267
2025-03-30 0.085749 0.122310 0.167987 0.228205 0.304383 0.396382 0.514611
2025-04-06 0.075431 0.113011 0.161638 0.227723 0.313602 0.419772 0.559106
2025-04-13 0.066822 0.104930 0.155910 0.227178 0.322111 0.441988 0.602301
2025-04-20 0.060461 0.099195 0.152629 0.229271 0.333652 0.467964 0.650577
2025-04-27 0.056323 0.096147 0.152619 0.235482 0.350548 0.501040 0.708578
2025-05-04 0.051327 0.091283 0.149560 0.237060 0.360941 0.525596 0.755854
2025-05-11 0.047572 0.087909 0.148299 0.240898 0.374320 0.554242 0.808996
2025-05-18 0.045113 0.086311 0.149457 0.248111 0.392471 0.589622 0.871803
2025-05-25 0.040331 0.080626 0.144231 0.245930 0.397591 0.607924 0.912920
2025-06-01 0.036587 0.076290 0.140739 0.246049 0.405883 0.630711 0.960636
2025-06-08 0.032927 0.071702 0.136465 0.244627 0.411694 0.650006 1.003835
2025-06-15 0.030942 0.069907 0.136562 0.249925 0.427567 0.683879 1.068063
2025-06-22 0.028185 0.066374 0.133475 0.249908 0.435267 0.706058 1.116135
2025-06-29 0.025645 0.062968 0.130322 0.249528 0.442251 0.727214 1.163051
2025-07-06 0.023337 0.059754 0.127238 0.249018 0.448881 0.747866 1.209523
2025-07-13 0.021655 0.057625 0.125910 0.251311 0.459898 0.775175 1.266103
2025-07-20 0.020714 0.056955 0.127170 0.258014 0.478088 0.813576 1.339594
2025-07-27 0.019196 0.054860 0.125618 0.259723 0.488186 0.839874 1.395643
2025-08-03 0.018096 0.053569 0.125481 0.263856 0.502291 0.872510 1.461629